Plenty of rain in the forecast for Michigan over the next 10 days. We have at least 2 significant weather makers to talk about between now and the end of the Memorial Day holiday weekend. We see limited stretches of drying in-between rain events.
Rain and thunderstorms developed overnight Friday night and will be around all through Saturday and early morning hours Sunday. Clouds will break for some sun late Sunday, but we are colder too. Rain totals for the Saturday-Sunday period will be half to 2” with coverage at nearly the entire Lower Peninsula. UP areas see only 30% coverage and lower totals. Strong to severe storms are possible, mostly on Saturday.
We turn cooler behind the system for Sunday afternoon and Monday. While we expect well below normal temps, sunshine will be in control, especially Monday. Dry weather will continue for Tuesday, but we see warming temps.
Rain returns for next Wednesday and Thursday. Rain totals again for the combined period will be half to 2” with coverage a 100%. The map below shows rain totals through next Thursday, the product of the two large events.
We finish the 10-day forecast window with a dry day Friday the 27th. Most of the state is also dry for the 28th, but we can see scattered showers in far northern tier counties of Lower MI. The state sees rain potential overnight Saturday night through Sunday the 29th. Rain totals can be from .25”-.1.5” with coverage at 70%. The northern half of Lower MI along with the UP sees the heaviest rain threats, while the southern third of Lower MI may escape with smaller or no action. Sunday night through Memorial Day we can see an additional round of moisture over 70% of lower MI that can add .25”-1”. There’s just way too much moisture in our forecast here.
Extended Period:
The extended 11-16 day period has a threat of rain and thunderstorms for late Wednesday the 1st into Thursday the 2nd with rain chances of half to 1” and coverage of 70%. We should be dry to finish the rest of that week, but are putting a chance of showers in for late in the extended period, Sunday the 5th. That moisture may come from the south, and coverage will be 50% at best.
Weeks 3 & 4:
In weeks three and four, we see precipitation near normal. Temps will be normal to slightly below in week 3 and near normal in week 4.
Week 3 Precipiation (Green = above normal, Brown = below)
Week 3 Temperatures (yellow/orange = above normal, blue = below)
Week 4 Precipiation (Green = above normal, Brown = below)
Week 4 Temperatures (yellow/orange = above normal, blue = below)
