Home News Michigan Ag News Harvest Forecast: Nice, Easy Despite Minor Hiccup to Finish the Weekend

Harvest Forecast: Nice, Easy Despite Minor Hiccup to Finish the Weekend

Our last harvest forecast is pretty nice and easy overall. The next 10 days will be predominantly dry. However is a minor hiccup to finish our weekend here, as a front quickly moves through the northern Great Lakes Sunday.

Sunny, warm, and dry for Saturday statewide, at least compared to the cold we have seen off and on over the past week. Sunday will feature clouds and showers for a large part of MI. Liquid equivalent totals are not huge at .1”-.4”, but we will be wet. Also, this front will bring in colder air for Sunday, with the coldest shot overnight Sunday night into early Monday morning. That cold air means we may be talking about some sloppy wet snowflakes in here, although nothing dramatic. The biggest threats for that are over the northern part of Lower MI, and then up into the UP.

We go sunny and dry for Monday right on through the rest of the week and weekend, through Sunday the 8th. Temps will be cool to start, but by midweek we will be warm with above normal temps on through the weekend. We expect good evaporation and dry down. Remaining harvest finally will get the longer term dry window we need to finish up. The map below shows rain totals for the entire 10 day period over the region. The moisture you see on this map all comes Sunday, 11/1.

Extended Period:

The next good chance of rain we see statewide comes in the extended period, for next Tuesday, the 10th. A cold front moves through the eastern corn belt and brings rain potential on the magnitude of .25”-.75” and coverage at 75%. That front brings in significantly colder air. AS cool as some of our days were last week, the airmass coming in for mid-November is much colder. WE expect below normal temps and back to back to back hard freezes. We are dry for a few days and then a warm front for the 14th-15th brings a chance of scattered showers with coverage at 40%, mostly into southern MI, from I-96 south. Northern areas stay dry, but cool as well, with warm front not reaching that far north.

 

Weeks 3 & 4:

After the cold next week, we do see temps bounce a bit for the last half of November. Temps will be above normal in both week 3 and week 4. WE are dry for week three but look to pick up a nice thanksgiving week storm event that will push us to above normal precipitation to round out the month in week 4.

Week 3

Precipitation (green: above normal, brown: below)

Temperatures (blue: below normal, orange: above)

Week 4

Precipitation (green: above normal, brown: below)

Temperatures (blue: below normal, orange: above)