We have a great start to this week’s harvest forecast in Michigan once again. We are starting out chilly here for Saturday and early Sunday, but temps will start to moderate Sunday afternoon. We keep the milder air around Monday and Tuesday as well. Full sunshine is expected through Tuesday, making for good evaporation, and drying. Harvest should continue unfettered.
Moisture starts to lift into Southern MI overnight next Tuesday night into Wednesday morning from the southwest. Initially this triggers just shattered minor showers. However, a cold front sweeps in from the NW Through the day Wednesday and Wednesday night, bringing another significant round of moisture. Combined, we end up with .1”-1” of rain with 90% coverage over MI, including the UP. See map at right. We may also have to deal with lingering moisture and fully cloudy skies all the way through Thursday. This will be enough to stop harvest for Wednesday and Thursday.
Friday clouds start to break, but we are colder again. Milder temps on Saturday will bring another round of scattered showers. Totals will be minor but coming out of damp and cold conditions to finish the week, this will not allow for any significant drying. Saturday rains will be a few hundredths to .4” with 70% coverage.
Colder Sunday a good deal of clouds, then we turn partly sunny but stay cool for Monday the 17th.
Mostly dry for the extended 11-16 day forecast period. We see fully dry conditions all the way through the 23rd for southern MI but see more clouds around far north and northeast. On Wednesday the 19th, we can’t rule out clouds and scattered showers north of a line from Traverse City to Bad Axe. Otherwise, mixed louds and sun will be the flavor of each day, with a cool start to he extended period and moderating temps Thursday the 20th through Sunday the 23rd.
Weeks 3 & 4:
Our dry pattern continues through weeks 3 and 4. Week three is well below normal, like this week and next week. Week 4 starts to see a little more of a rain threat, but nothing that would be constituted as wet. Temps will be well above normal for the second half of the month, a big about face from the cool down that we are seeing later next week.
Week 3 Precipitation v. Normal:
Week 4 Precipitation v. Normal: