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We have a very nice harvest forecast for Michigan, with a majority of of the next 2 weeks rain free, and the only “threat” that we have really turning out to be very minor in terms of total moisture. Temps will continue to moderate this weekend through early week with south winds in control. We will not be well above normal but should see great evaporation each afternoon as sunshine dominates Saturday through Tuesday.
A cold front sags south through the Great Lakes Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will bring plenty of clouds for Wednesday and they linger into Thursday. Scattered showers can pop up too, especially in the UP and northern third of lower MI. Totals will be a few hundredths to a tenth or two, and coverage will be no more than 40% of the aforementioned areas. Clouds break up Thursday midday.
However, the bigger story will be cold air making another leg down in temps. This cooler, Canadian airmass parks over MI for Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. The map at right shows morning lows next Saturday morning, and this projects to widespread frost for most of the state. However, we are also dry behind the midweek frontal passage, with no rain likely Thursday midday through the weekend.
Temps moderate Sunday the 9th into Monday the 10th, and we continue to see the dry pattern extend.
Extended Period:
The extended 11-16 day forecast period is fully dry through the 16th of October. South winds dominate that week, and we could see temps above normal over the entire state.
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Weeks 3 & 4:
Our dry pattern continues through weeks 3 and 4. Week three is well below normal, like this week and next week. Week 4 starts to see a little more of a rain threat, but nothing that would be constituted as wet. Temps will be well above normal for the second half of the month, a big about face from the cool down that we are seeing later next week.
Week 3 Precipitation v. Normal:
Week 3 Temps v. Normal:
Week 4 Precipitation v. Normal:
Week 4 Temps v. Normal:
